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2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey

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2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey

← 2000 November 2, 2004 2008 →
 
Nominee John Kerry George W. Bush
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Massachusetts Texas
Running mate John Edwards Dick Cheney
Electoral vote 15 0
Popular vote 1,911,430 1,670,003
Percentage 52.92% 46.24%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 15 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Democratic nominee John Kerry defeated Republican incumbent President George W. Bush by a 6.68% margin of victory in New Jersey. However, Bush was re-elected to the presidency.

Prior to the election, most news organizations considered New Jersey a blue state that Kerry would win. Due to the impact of the September 11, 2001 attacks and Democratic Governor Jim McGreevey's resignation following threats of a sexual harassment lawsuit, political observers believed that the presidential contest in New Jersey would be closer than usual. Polls showed Senator John F. Kerry with a slim lead throughout the campaign, and the Republicans invested some campaign funds in the state.[citation needed]

Primaries

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Campaign

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Predictions

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There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. The table below shows their final predictions before Election Day.[1]

Source Ranking
D.C. Political Report Lean D
Cook Political Report Likely D
Research 2000 Solid D
Zogby International Likely D
Washington Post Likely D
Washington Dispatch Likely D
Washington Times Solid D
The New York Times Lean D
CNN Likely D
Newsweek Lean D
Associated Press Solid D
Rasmussen Reports Likely D

Polling

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Kerry led by small margins in most pre-election polls taken in New Jersey. A final three-poll rolling average showed Kerry leading Bush, 49% to 42%.[2]

Fundraising

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Bush raised $5,934,011 from New Jersey donors,[3] while Kerry raised $6,513,274.[4]

Results

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2004 United States presidential election in New Jersey[5][6]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Democratic John Kerry 1,911,430 52.92% 15
Republican George W. Bush (Inc.) 1,670,003 46.24% 0
Independent Ralph Nader 19,418 0.54% 0
Libertarian Michael Badnarik 4,514 0.12% 0
Constitution Michael Peroutka 2,750 0.08% 0
Green David Cobb 1,807 0.05% 0
Socialist Walt Brown 664 0.02% 0
Socialist Equality Bill Van Auken 575 0.02% 0
Socialist Workers Roger Calero 530 0.01% 0
Totals 3,611,691 100.00% 15
Voter Turnout (Voting age/Registered) 56%/72%

By county

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Results of the general election by municipality, darker colors indicate higher win percentage:
-Blue municipalities won by Kerry
-Red municipalities won by Bush
County John Kerry
Democratic
George W. Bush
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Atlantic 55,746 52.54% 49,487 46.64% 864 0.81% 6,259 5.90% 106,097
Bergen 207,666 51.88% 189,833 47.43% 2,745 0.69% 17,833 4.45% 400,244
Burlington 110,411 53.09% 95,936 46.13% 1,609 0.77% 14,475 6.96% 207,956
Camden 137,765 62.36% 81,427 36.86% 1,741 0.79% 56,338 25.50% 220,933
Cape May 21,475 42.31% 28,832 56.80% 455 0.90% −7,357 −14.49% 50,762
Cumberland 27,875 52.41% 24,362 45.81% 948 1.78% 3,513 6.60% 53,185
Essex 203,681 70.39% 83,374 28.81% 2,293 0.79% 120,307 41.58% 289,348
Gloucester 66,835 52.23% 60,033 46.91% 1,096 0.86% 6,802 5.32% 127,964
Hudson 127,447 67.24% 60,646 31.99% 1,461 0.77% 66,801 35.25% 189,554
Hunterdon 26,050 39.07% 39,888 59.82% 742 1.11% −13,838 −20.75% 66,680
Mercer 91,580 61.25% 56,604 37.86% 1,326 0.89% 34,976 23.39% 149,510
Middlesex 166,628 56.33% 126,492 42.76% 2,685 0.91% 40,136 13.57% 295,805
Monmouth 133,773 44.60% 163,650 54.56% 2,516 0.84% −29,877 −9.96% 299,939
Morris 98,066 41.70% 135,241 57.51% 1,847 0.79% −37,175 −15.81% 235,154
Ocean 99,839 38.93% 154,204 60.13% 2,424 0.95% −54,365 −21.20% 256,467
Passaic 94,962 55.43% 75,200 43.90% 1,149 0.67% 19,762 11.53% 171,311
Salem 13,749 46.17% 15,721 52.79% 311 1.04% −1,972 −6.62% 29,781
Somerset 66,476 47.39% 72,508 51.69% 1,295 0.92% −6,032 −4.30% 140,279
Sussex 23,990 34.54% 44,506 64.08% 962 1.38% −20,516 −29.54% 69,458
Union 119,372 58.66% 82,517 40.55% 1,613 0.79% 36,855 18.11% 203,502
Warren 18,044 37.43% 29,542 61.28% 622 1.29% −11,498 −23.85% 48,208
Totals 1,911,430 52.92% 1,670,003 46.23% 30,704 0.85% 241,427 6.69% 3,612,137
County Flips:

By congressional district

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Kerry won 7 of 13 congressional districts.[7]

District Kerry Bush Representative
1st 61% 39% Rob Andrews
2nd 49% 50% Frank LoBiondo
3rd 49% 51% Jim Saxton
4th 44% 56% Chris Smith
5th 43% 57% Scott Garrett
6th 57% 43% Frank Pallone Jr.
7th 47% 53% Mike Ferguson
8th 59% 41% Bill Pascrell
9th 59% 41% Steve Rothman
10th 82% 18% Donald Payne
11th 42% 58% Rodney Frelinghuysen
12th 54% 46% Rush Holt Jr.
13th 69% 31% Bob Menendez

Electors

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The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state of New Jersey in 2004. All 15 were pledged to support the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards.[8]

  1. Warren Wallace
  2. Wilfredo Caraballo
  3. Tom Canzanella
  4. Carolyn Walch
  5. Peggy Anastos
  6. Bernard Kenny
  7. Ronald Rice
  8. Abed Awad
  9. Jack McGreevey – (Father of former Gov. James McGreevey)
  10. Wendy Benchle
  11. Loni Kaplan
  12. Carolyn Wade
  13. Riletta L. Cream
  14. Bernadette McPherson
  15. Upendra Chivukula

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "D.C.'s Political Report's 2004 Presidential Ratings". D.C.'s Political Report. October 29, 2004. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. Retrieved June 6, 2022.
  2. ^ "Election poll data". uselectionatlas.org. 2004.
  3. ^ "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". campaignmoney.com.
  4. ^ "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President". campaignmoney.com.
  5. ^ "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - New Jersey 2004".
  6. ^ "Official General Election Candidates List" (PDF).
  7. ^ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project".
  8. ^ "U. S. Electoral College 2004 Certificate". archives.gov. May 20, 2019.
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